What is going on in India about the covid19 pandemic

Arindam Basu
3 min readMay 7, 2021

… and what can we do about it?

If we plot the total number of new covid19 cases in India over days, we see a pattern such as this:

India total number of cases in thousands over time

This is by now a familiar story where we see a sharp rise in the number fo cases starting somewhere in March of 2021, rapidly overtaking anything we have seen so far. If we view the slope as well, we see the sharpness of the rise in the number of cases from a year ago, when it was rising gently. The number of people who have died have also risen sharply over this time.

On the other hand, if we were to now dissect India’s number of cases based on how many cases are there at the time per state of the union, we get to see a figure as follows (this figure is not very current, but it represents the number of cases as of end of April, 2021)

This is India’s COVID19 case distribution across the states till about the beginning of May (the numbers have changed since). We have plotted the total number of cases over States where they occur. If we consider about 548 districts in the country for which data are available and plot them, we get the following:

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Arindam Basu

I am a Medical Doctor and an Associate Professor of Epidemiology and Environmental Health at the University of Canterbury. Founder of TwinMe,